Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5084…fb85
crypto · 432 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$7
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses268 / 441
Open positions38
Markets (closed)709 / 432
History coverage11d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day310.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 38 History 709 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$26
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+50%)
Will Elon Musk post <400 tweets in June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+50%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 June 8-14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets in July 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 7? Jun 12 $0 $0 -5%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 17? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +40584%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -63%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 30? Jun 12 $0 $0 -85%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 -65%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 19? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +566%
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -73%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 27? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +178%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 18? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on May 27? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on May 6? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -67%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on April 28? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +105%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 10? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +316%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on May 28? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 29? Jun 12 $0 $0 -19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 7? Jun 12 $0 $0 +84%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 -12%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on May 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 22? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +158%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 20? Jun 12 $0 $0 -92%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 30? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1120%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on May 31? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 11-17? Jun 12 $0 $0 -56%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on April 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +239%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 May 4-10? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 13-19? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -68%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 22? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 6? Jun 12 $0 $0 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on June 3? Jun 12 $1 $0 -20%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 30? Jun 12 $0 $0 +387%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 9? Jun 12 $0 $0 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 30? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on May 18? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 9? Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 31? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on April 21? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +428%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on May 18? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% +$38
other 18% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 26m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 34m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 34m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 56m
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,100 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 56m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 13? SELL No 0¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 13? SELL No 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12? SELL No 0¢ $1 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $0 2h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12? SELL No 0¢ $1 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? SELL No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? SELL No 0¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+73.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 530 +97.5% +78.7% 35% 32% -16.3%
≤30d 709 +91.4% +73.2% 38% 35% -13.5%
≤90d 709 +91.4% +73.2% 38% 35% -13.5%
all 709 +91.4% +73.2% 38% 35% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover310.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +73.2% 35% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here +56.6% 32% -21.8%
15% +41.5% 29% -29.3%
20% +27.6% 26% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.72 · official $18.72 (match) · 3500 history records