Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:52:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5083…b0ea
crypto · 583 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5,084 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,162 · open −$78
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$105
Realized+$5,162
Unrealized−$78
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses244 / 338
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)582 / 583
History coverage3d
Avg bet$176
Trades / day925.0
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 582 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,938
7 days+$5,162
14 days+$5,162
30 days+$5,162
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 31¢ 42¢ $77 $103 +$26 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $106 $2 −$104 (-99%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? No 73¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +528%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $162 −$155 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $506 +$145 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$42 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,220 +$766 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,153 −$1,153 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $152 +$24 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $192 +$41 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $313 −$313 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $170 −$76 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$49 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $141 +$22 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $408 −$330 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $362 −$358 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$17 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $247 −$42 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $177 −$177 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$85 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $246 −$77 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $213 −$100 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $796 +$15 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $867 +$398 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $291 −$90 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $484 +$93 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$134 +274%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$21 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $227 +$237 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $172 −$9 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$8 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $89 −$82 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$18 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $354 +$306 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1,122 −$902 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$16 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $424 +$58 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $545 +$97 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $699 −$444 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$59 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $171 −$171 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $161 +$321 +199%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $216 +$51 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $402 +$93 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $253 +$185 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5,082
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $80 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $111 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $17 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $115 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $30 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $428 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $78 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $366 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $18 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $228 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $28 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $793 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $28 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $30 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $29 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $262 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $17 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $16 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 582 -8.1% -16.8% 42% 37% -5.0%
≤30d 582 -8.1% -16.8% 42% 37% -5.0%
≤90d 582 -8.1% -16.8% 42% 37% -5.0%
all 582 -8.1% -16.8% 42% 37% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover925.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 37% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 31% -14.1%
15% -32.1% 26% -22.4%
20% -38.7% 22% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $104.87 · official $104.29 (match) · 3500 history records