Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:38:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5060…c607
crypto · 126 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$563 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$558 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$70
Realized−$558
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses43 / 82
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)125 / 126
History coverage52d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$108
7 days−$370
14 days−$374
30 days−$374
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 36¢ $75 $70 −$5 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 4? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$7 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$14 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$1 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$15 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$16 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$12 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 07 $128 −$125 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 07 $127 +$27 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 07 $26 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 07 $110 +$15 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$5 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 07 $70 +$12 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 07 $146 −$11 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 07 $136 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 07 $26 +$17 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 07 $114 +$14 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 07 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$3 -13%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 07 $5 −$2 -33%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $13 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 07 $86 −$82 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 07 $52 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 07 $20 −$10 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$9 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 07 $21 −$18 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 07 $11 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 07 $12 −$7 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 07 $36 +$20 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 07 $38 +$15 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $21 −$12 -56%
Spread: Curaçao (-2.5) Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 07 $36 −$4 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$559
sports 8% −$19
world 1% +$28
finance 1% −$1
other 0% −$2
tech 0% −$5
weather 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $77 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $19 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $23 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $36 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $128 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $154 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +6.1% -4.0% 32% 28% -28.4%
≤30d 90 -1.7% -11.1% 37% 33% -25.4%
≤90d 125 -10.8% -19.3% 34% 32% -28.8%
all 125 -10.8% -19.3% 34% 32% -28.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.3% 32% -28.8%
10% -27.1% 27% -35.6%
15% -34.1% 26% -41.8%
20% -40.6% 22% -47.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $70.26 · official $70.26 (match) · 268 history records