Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:25:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5055…ebe6
crypto · 1054 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$198 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$198 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$198
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses386 / 669
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1055 / 1054
History coverage57d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day41.8
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1055 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$63
14 days−$69
30 days−$352
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 38¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 48¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 19¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 45¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 10¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 43¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 63¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 42¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Rockets vs. Lakers Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1075%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +52%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +62%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$200
sports 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $8 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-32.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 526 -3.9% -13.1% 50% 49% -12.9%
≤30d 698 -16.9% -24.8% 40% 39% -22.2%
≤90d 1055 -25.4% -32.5% 37% 35% -26.1%
all 1055 -25.4% -32.5% 37% 35% -26.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.5% 35% -26.1%
10% ← realistic here -39.0% 34% -33.1%
15% -44.9% 33% -39.6%
20% -50.3% 29% -45.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records