Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:33:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5043…b805
crypto · 37 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$45 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$45 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$45
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses24 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day79.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$45
14 days+$45
30 days+$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$6 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$23 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$7 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$22 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$21 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $87 −$37 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $52 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $102 −$10 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$25 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$12 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$19 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$11 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$13 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $34 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +7.8% -2.5% 65% 51% -5.5%
≤30d 37 +7.8% -2.5% 65% 51% -5.5%
≤90d 37 +7.8% -2.5% 65% 51% -5.5%
all 37 +7.8% -2.5% 65% 51% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.5% 51% -5.5%
10% ← realistic here -11.8% 46% -14.6%
15% -20.4% 43% -22.8%
20% -28.2% 16% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 121 history records