Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T12:24:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
50 0x5041…5816 crypto 161 markets active 8d ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (204 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL +$1,741 (+27%) realized +$1,741 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +244% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +165% what you keep after slip
Net edge+165%after slip
Net WR98%break-even
Win rate98%83W / 2L
Drawdown1%max
Avg bet$39per market
Trades / day204.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5,217
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (204 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +98%
net ROI/market (all)+211.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 85 +244.2% +211.4% 98% 98% +161.7%
≤90d 85 +244.2% +211.4% 98% 98% +161.7%
all 85 +244.2% +211.4% 98% 98% +161.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover204.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +211.4% 98% +161.7%
10% ← realistic here +181.6% 98% +136.7%
15% +154.4% 98% +113.8%
20% +129.5% 98% +92.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +189% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +244% · $-wt +189% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +248% → late +241% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
7.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$63 vs −$16 · ×4.06 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×168.41 per $1 lost it wins $168.41
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,741
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses83 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)85 / 161
History coverage6d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day204.0
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 85 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $776 +$724 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $50 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 20 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 20 $17 +$43 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 20 $49 −$29 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 20 $22 +$58 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 20 $6 +$14 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 20 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $12 +$28 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$43 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 19 $23 +$57 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 19 $12 +$28 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $12 +$28 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$43 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$100 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 19 $35 +$65 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 19 $15 +$45 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 19 $27 +$68 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $6 +$14 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $6 +$14 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 19 $6 +$14 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $29 +$91 +318%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 19 $12 +$28 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 19 $6 +$14 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $2 +$4 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 19 $23 +$57 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $8 +$32 +386%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $18 +$62 +342%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $22 +$58 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 18 $23 +$77 +335%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$14 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 18 $17 +$43 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 18 $23 +$57 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $17 +$83 +488%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $29 +$71 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $17 +$43 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 18 $12 +$28 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $23 +$57 +251%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $12 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $776 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $9 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $9 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1,035 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1,035 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $14 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $14 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $6 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $6 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1313 history records