Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:56:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x502b…3b15
crypto · 682 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$87 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$71 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,032
Realized+$71
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses469 / 397
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Open positions10
Markets (closed)866 / 682
History coverage3d
Avg bet$130
Trades / day838.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 866 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$443
7 days+$71
14 days+$71
30 days+$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No 93¢ 94¢ $3,100 $3,140 +$40 (+1%)
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 72¢ 66¢ $1,605 $1,482 −$123 (-8%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? No 97¢ 99¢ $1,080 $1,103 +$23 (+2%)
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes 85¢ 88¢ $1,020 $1,050 +$30 (+3%)
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes 95¢ 95¢ $950 $949 −$1 (-0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 93¢ 94¢ $931 $935 +$4 (+0%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 77¢ 82¢ $616 $660 +$44 (+7%)
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No 87¢ 89¢ $615 $629 +$14 (+2%)
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 70¢ 99¢ $420 $595 +$175 (+42%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 85¢ 61¢ $680 $489 −$191 (-28%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$25 +61942%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$1,501
other 11% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $16 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $20 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $6 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 866 -9.2% -17.9% 54% 25% -9.5%
≤30d 866 -9.2% -17.9% 54% 25% -9.5%
≤90d 866 -9.2% -17.9% 54% 25% -9.5%
all 866 -9.2% -17.9% 54% 25% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover838.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 25% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 18% -18.2%
15% -32.9% 12% -26.1%
20% -39.5% 9% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,032.29 · official $11,032.79 (match) · 3500 history records