Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:02:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5025…ce88
crypto · 224 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,711 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,778 · open −$67
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized+$3,778
Unrealized−$67
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses163 / 449
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)612 / 224
History coverage4d
Avg bet$211
Trades / day796.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 612 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,035
7 days+$3,778
14 days+$3,778
30 days+$3,778
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+115%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$39 +8420%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$10 +1998%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$10 +1999%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$10 +2002%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$10 +2002%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$34 +6640%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$34 +6640%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$35 +6739%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$10 +2011%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$222 +43208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$10 +2011%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$94 +18307%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$545 +106353%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$50 +9891%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$91 +18056%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$94 +18590%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$226 +45476%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$50 +10082%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$526 +110876%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$203 +54491%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$524 +203019%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$552 +532017%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$228 +303007%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$228 +305032%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$234 +339642%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$234 +342626%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$234 +357817%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$96 +151959%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$238 +396020%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$94 +157330%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$97 +188919%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $303 −$303 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$11,492
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $83 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $16 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $37 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $18 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $70 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $53 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $57 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $69 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)+89.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 612 +109.5% +89.6% 27% 26% -22.7%
≤30d 612 +109.5% +89.6% 27% 26% -22.7%
≤90d 612 +109.5% +89.6% 27% 26% -22.7%
all 612 +109.5% +89.6% 27% 26% -22.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover796.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +89.6% 26% -22.7%
10% ← realistic here +71.4% 26% -30.1%
15% +54.9% 26% -36.8%
20% +39.7% 26% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.88 · official $0.66 · 3500 history records