Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:23:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5024…b8bc
sports · 692 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$816 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$753 · open −$62
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$753
Unrealized−$62
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses425 / 265
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$217
Open positions2
Markets (closed)690 / 692
History coverage226d
Avg bet$97
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 690 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$73
7 days−$112
14 days+$129
30 days+$178
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner G2 Esports 50¢ 64¢ $33 $42 +$9 (+28%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 72¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Team Heretics 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Lakers Lakers 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 44¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 Invictus Gaming 30¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Natus Vincere 33¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 10¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend JD Gaming 74¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs BNK FEARX 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega EDward Gaming 51¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 4¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Team Vitality 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 65¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA 49¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Karmine Corp 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $98 −$25 -25%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $136 −$82 -60%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $120 +$16 +14%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $104 +$16 +15%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $16 −$12 -75%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $102 +$14 +14%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $32 −$29 -92%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $102 −$79 -78%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $100 +$66 +66%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $50 +$5 +10%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $53 +$8 +15%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $39 +$14 +34%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $87 −$48 -55%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $101 +$25 +24%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $101 +$15 +15%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $106 +$25 +23%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $101 +$38 +38%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $89 +$65 +73%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $73 +$35 +48%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $65 +$30 +46%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $155 +$34 +22%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $22 −$22 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 25 $39 −$38 -98%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner May 24 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner May 24 $101 −$1 -1%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner May 23 $3 −$3 -97%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner May 22 $101 +$31 +30%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner May 21 $20 −$2 -10%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 21 $81 +$35 +43%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 21 $99 +$81 +82%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $94 +$5 +5%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 20 $203 −$10 -5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Champi May 20 $101 −$16 -16%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 20 $95 +$26 +28%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner May 19 $92 +$3 +3%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q May 19 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B May 18 $92 +$12 +13%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 18 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner May 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner May 17 $21 −$11 -53%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 17 $101 +$45 +44%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B May 16 $137 +$24 +17%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner May 16 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 16 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier May 15 $100 +$16 +16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 15 $107 +$50 +47%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $100 +$7 +7%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner May 15 $21 +$3 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$968
crypto 18% +$152
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 50¢ $33 14m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 72¢ $71 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 75¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 75¢ $71 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 76¢ $73 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 67¢ $73 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 89¢ $98 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 37¢ $1 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 28¢ $53 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 68¢ $136 23h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 91¢ $136 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 79¢ $120 25h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 86¢ $120 25h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 74¢ $104 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 9¢ $4 38h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $16 38h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 72¢ $116 38h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $102 39h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 4¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 45¢ $32 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 7¢ $23 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 30¢ $102 2d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Legacy 96¢ $166 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 57¢ $100 4d
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner SELL Dplus KIA Challengers 99¢ $55 4d
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 90¢ $50 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 92¢ $61 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 79¢ $53 4d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL paiN 99¢ $53 5d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 73¢ $39 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -13.7% -21.9% 57% 50% -18.4%
≤30d 50 -15.3% -23.3% 56% 48% -5.2%
≤90d 248 -16.4% -24.3% 50% 43% -21.5%
all 690 -1.7% -11.1% 62% 44% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 44% -10.6%
10% -19.6% 32% -19.1%
15% -27.4% 22% -26.9%
20% -34.5% 14% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.74 · official $41.74 (match) · 1814 history records