trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -33.2% | -39.5% | 29% | 29% | -41.2% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -28.7% | -35.5% | 35% | 35% | -27.8% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -25.6% | -32.7% | 38% | 38% | -27.8% |
| all | 22 | -29.0% | -35.7% | 36% | 36% | -42.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.7% | 36% | -42.1% |
| 10% | -41.9% | 36% | -47.7% |
| 15% | -47.5% | 27% | -52.7% |
| 20% | -52.7% | 14% | -57.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Brazil | 73¢ | 74¢ | $120 | $121 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 70¢ | 69¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $101 | +$29 | +29% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $101 | +$53 | +52% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $204 | +$510 | +250% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $126 | +$349 | +276% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $212 | −$212 | -100% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $82 | −$81 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $224 | −$222 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $182 | −$179 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $388 | +$112 | +29% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $404 | −$399 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $224 | −$221 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $146 | +$64 | +44% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $129 | −$128 | -99% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $694 | +$317 | +46% |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league? | May 06 | $3 | +$1 | +37% |
| Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16? | Jan 28 | $995 | −$995 | -100% |