Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:39:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5010…6f49
crypto · 1345 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,438 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,438 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,438
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1061 / 328
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1389 / 1345
History coverage12d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day233.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1389 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,530
7 days−$2,030
14 days−$2,438
30 days−$2,438
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$55 -189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,415
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $11 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 623 -8.4% -17.1% 72% 27% -22.8%
≤30d 1389 -4.4% -13.5% 76% 32% -17.7%
≤90d 1389 -4.4% -13.5% 76% 32% -17.7%
all 1389 -4.4% -13.5% 76% 32% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover233.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 32% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 14% -25.5%
15% -29.3% 7% -32.7%
20% -36.2% 5% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records