Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:02:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5006…48ca
sports · 126 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$528 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$315 · open −$70
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,680
Realized+$315
Unrealized−$70
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses60 / 61
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$703
Open positions5
Markets (closed)121 / 126
History coverage30d
Avg bet$330
Trades / day22.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 5 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$61
7 days+$301
14 days+$1,111
30 days+$315
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second Half No 79¢ 81¢ $774 $793 +$20 (+3%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner LYON 53¢ 50¢ $516 $491 −$24 (-5%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs LYON 55¢ 55¢ $331 $328 −$3 (-1%)
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5) UCAM Esports Club 31¢ 16¢ $129 $66 −$62 (-48%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Over 56¢ 58¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION Challengers 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 52¢ 0¢ $520 $0 −$520 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Ekaterina Alexandrova 83¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Peyton Stearns vs Daria Kasatkina Peyton Stearns 33¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $405 $0 −$405 (-100%)
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs MVK Esports 33¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs RED Canids 47¢ 0¢ $470 $0 −$470 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $184 −$16 -9%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Second half draw? Jun 14 $28 +$1 +2%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $119 $0 -0%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $340 −$117 -34%
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? Jun 14 $421 +$3 +1%
Curaçao leading at halftime? Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $380 +$618 +163%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $260 +$34 +13%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stag Jun 14 $40 +$1 +2%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $8 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $4 $0 -7%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $182 +$4 +2%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $71 +$30 +43%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $18 $0 +2%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $465 +$8 +2%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $490 +$8 +2%
Switzerland to win the second half? Jun 13 $340 $0 -0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 13 $546 +$8 +2%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? Jun 13 $395 −$25 -6%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $520 −$520 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $510 −$16 -3%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $200 −$15 -7%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $648 +$15 +2%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $199 +$1 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $171 −$11 -6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $460 −$17 -4%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $720 −$57 -8%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $64 +$1 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $790 +$10 +1%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 12 $810 +$10 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $630 +$3 +0%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) Jun 11 $230 −$29 -12%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $330 −$43 -13%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $365 −$28 -8%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 11 $288 −$6 -2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$1 -4%
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5) Jun 11 $270 −$25 -9%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $345 $0 -0%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) Jun 11 $315 −$39 -12%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $13 −$1 -6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $35 +$10 +28%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $365 +$43 +12%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $49 +$2 +4%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $2,412 +$1 +0%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% +$692
politics 15% −$25
other 9% −$17
culture 1% −$405
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second Half SELL No 83¢ $17 11m
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL LYON 51¢ $9 27m
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL LYON 51¢ $5 27m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 SELL Under 21¢ $168 33m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Second half draw? SELL No 85¢ $29 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL G2 Esports 63¢ $2 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 59¢ $119 1h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 22¢ $16 1h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 22¢ $106 1h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 22¢ $20 1h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 22¢ $16 1h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 22¢ $32 1h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 22¢ $11 1h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 26¢ $22 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY No 79¢ $790 3h
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? SELL No 13¢ $39 3h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 SELL Over 57¢ $569 3h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 56¢ $560 3h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Second half draw? BUY No 83¢ $28 3h
Curaçao leading at halftime? SELL Yes 2¢ $5 4h
Curaçao leading at halftime? SELL Yes 2¢ $8 4h
Curaçao leading at halftime? SELL Yes 2¢ $7 4h
Curaçao leading at halftime? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL illwill 100¢ $998 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 30¢ $294 4h
Curaçao leading at halftime? BUY Yes 2¢ $20 4h
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? BUY No 12¢ $36 8h
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY LYON 53¢ $530 8h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 34¢ $340 8h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $119 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +13.9% +3.1% 60% 11% -7.9%
≤30d 121 +9.3% -1.2% 50% 10% -8.8%
≤90d 121 +9.3% -1.2% 50% 10% -8.8%
all 121 +9.3% -1.2% 50% 10% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.2% 10% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -10.6% 8% -17.5%
15% -19.2% 7% -25.5%
20% -27.2% 5% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,680.13 · official $1,680.13 (match) · 756 history records