trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 88% | 25% | -20.8% |
| all | 23 | +6.2% | -4.0% | 91% | 30% | +20.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.0% | 30% | +20.1% |
| 10% | -13.1% | 26% | +8.6% |
| 15% | -21.5% | 22% | -1.8% |
| 20% | -29.2% | 13% | -11.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $76 | $76 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | Jun 02 | $57 | $0 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 02 | $69 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In | May 24 | $202 | −$198 | -98% |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 15 | $157 | +$45 | +29% |
| LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner | May 14 | $132 | +$24 | +18% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $133 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) | Apr 08 | $131 | +$1 | +1% |
| Wizards vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 30 | $131 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Mar 02 | $3,422 | +$2,730 | +80% |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Mar 01 | $2,454 | +$969 | +40% |
| Wizards vs. Hawks | Feb 27 | $2,451 | +$2 | +0% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner | Feb 24 | $1,520 | +$932 | +61% |
| Will Booster Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival G | Feb 17 | $306 | +$17 | +6% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Feb 17 | $754 | +$443 | +59% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner | Feb 14 | $500 | +$214 | +43% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 08 | $124 | −$124 | -100% |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $55 on the final trading day of January 2 | Jan 31 | $969 | +$1 | +0% |
| Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale? | Jan 10 | $967 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $127 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $691 | +$1 | +0% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $62 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 02 | $74 | +$1 | +1% |