trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+25%) |
| Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Jun 12 | $43 | −$3 | -7% |
| Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$1 | +25% |
| BC Dubai vs. Buducnost | May 25 | $63 | −$17 | -27% |
| Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton? | May 25 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? | May 25 | $2 | +$2 | +98% |
| Will Tgr Haas achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Pr | May 21 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +9.0% | -1.4% | 50% | 50% | -12.8% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -17.8% | -25.7% | 33% | 33% | -25.9% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -17.8% | -25.7% | 33% | 33% | -25.9% |
| all | 6 | -17.8% | -25.7% | 33% | 33% | -25.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.7% | 33% | -25.9% |
| 10% | -32.8% | 33% | -33.0% |
| 15% | -39.3% | 17% | -39.5% |
| 20% | -45.2% | 17% | -45.4% |