trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 29 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 0% | 0% | -18.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 0% | -33.5% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -40.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 24 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 26 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 29 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 16 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 25 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 25 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 23 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Nov 25 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 28 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 29 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Saints win the NFC Championship? | Aug 28 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League? | Aug 27 | $0 | $0 | -12% |
| Ipswich Town wins the Premier League? | Jul 23 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Fulham wins the Premier League? | May 08 | $75 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 19 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 13 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Apr 12 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 30 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jan 06 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -17% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 10 | $0 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 08 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Nov 26 | $148 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Young Boys win the UEFA Champions League? | Nov 26 | $37 | $0 | -0% |