trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +770.0% | +687.1% | 100% | 100% | +337.3% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +133.5% | +111.3% | 38% | 38% | +19.3% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +133.5% | +111.3% | 38% | 38% | +19.3% |
| all | 19 | +33.4% | +20.7% | 26% | 26% | -71.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +20.7% | 26% | -71.6% |
| 10% | +9.1% | 26% | -74.3% |
| 15% | -1.4% | 21% | -76.8% |
| 20% | -11.1% | 21% | -79.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $41 | $39 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $46 | $38 | −$8 (-17%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 17¢ | 2¢ | $15 | $1 | −$14 (-91%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $25 | +$48 | +188% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$69 | +1352% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $28 | −$28 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$3 | +28% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Pelicans vs. Warriors | Nov 30 | $341 | −$341 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Nov 30 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Pacers | Nov 30 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims) | Nov 22 | $1,082 | +$2,189 | +202% |
| Will Aleksandre Topuria win by KO or TKO? | Nov 22 | $160 | −$159 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Nov 22 | $320 | +$261 | +82% |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Oct 19 | $10,385 | −$10,385 | -100% |
| Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 5–10%? | Oct 19 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%? | Oct 19 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 17 | $52 | −$6 | -12% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 17 | $40 | −$2 | -6% |