Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:28:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4F
0x4f77…23e6
crypto · 121 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$245 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$245 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$245
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses103 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)121 / 121
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day177.2
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$245
7 days+$245
14 days+$245
30 days+$245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$9 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$11 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $153 +$60 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$109 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$39 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$245
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 +6.5% -3.6% 85% 33% +2.4%
≤30d 121 +6.5% -3.6% 85% 33% +2.4%
≤90d 121 +6.5% -3.6% 85% 33% +2.4%
all 121 +6.5% -3.6% 85% 33% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover177.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.6% 33% +2.4%
10% ← realistic here -12.8% 19% -7.4%
15% -21.3% 14% -16.3%
20% -29.0% 7% -24.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 348 history records