Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:13:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4F
0x4f69…bb5d
crypto · 29 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$380 +42%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$380 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$380
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses15 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage1d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day55.0
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$380
7 days+$380
14 days+$380
30 days+$380
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $56 +$12 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$9 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$20 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$21 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$71 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$19 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$13 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$47 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $54 +$39 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$17 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$419 +998%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$380
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $54 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $22 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $22 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $33 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $75 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $54 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $125 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $54 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $108 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $16 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $22 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $22 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +26.4% +14.4% 52% 45% +28.8%
≤30d 29 +26.4% +14.4% 52% 45% +28.8%
≤90d 29 +26.4% +14.4% 52% 45% +28.8%
all 29 +26.4% +14.4% 52% 45% +28.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.4% 45% +28.8%
10% ← realistic here +3.4% 41% +16.5%
15% -6.6% 38% +5.2%
20% -15.7% 31% -5.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 69 history records