trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 0% | 0% | -22.4% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 0% | 0% | -22.4% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 0% | 0% | -22.4% |
| all | 21 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 76% | 5% | -36.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.3% | 5% | -36.3% |
| 10% | -19.8% | 5% | -42.4% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 5% | -47.9% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 5% | -53.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $11 | $11 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 10 | $7 | −$2 | -28% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 10 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 03 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Celtics vs. Rockets | Feb 05 | $47 | +$87 | +186% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 5AM ET | Dec 05 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 20 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 23? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16? | May 18 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April? | May 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | May 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25? | Apr 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1400 and $1500 on Apr 25? | Apr 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18? | Apr 21 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18? | Apr 21 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90000 on April 4? | Apr 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31? | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $3,500.00 again by March 31? | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 28? | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $77000 on Mar 21? | Mar 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Solana above $145 on March 14? | Mar 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |