Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:41:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4F
0x4f3f…e356
crypto · 99 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$21 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses39 / 60
Open positions0
Markets (closed)99 / 99
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day75.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 99 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +153%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +208%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +237%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +203%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-22.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -14.1% -22.2% 39% 39% -16.3%
≤30d 99 -14.1% -22.2% 39% 39% -16.3%
≤90d 99 -14.1% -22.2% 39% 39% -16.3%
all 99 -14.1% -22.2% 39% 39% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.2% 39% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -29.7% 38% -24.3%
15% -36.5% 38% -31.6%
20% -42.7% 38% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 221 history records