trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -24.2% | -31.5% | 20% | 13% | -37.6% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -36.9% | -42.9% | 17% | 11% | -40.9% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -32.1% | -38.6% | 20% | 15% | -39.7% |
| all | 20 | -32.1% | -38.6% | 20% | 15% | -39.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.6% | 15% | -39.7% |
| 10% | -44.5% | 15% | -45.4% |
| 15% | -49.8% | 15% | -50.7% |
| 20% | -54.8% | 5% | -55.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Jun 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET | Jun 11 | $42 | −$16 | -37% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET | Jun 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Jun 11 | $7 | +$6 | +93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET | Jun 11 | $11 | −$10 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET | Jun 10 | $115 | −$13 | -11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | Jun 10 | $71 | −$42 | -58% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | Jun 10 | $13 | −$6 | -47% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? | Jun 10 | $4 | −$1 | -28% |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 10 | $4 | $0 | -8% |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 10 | $2 | +$1 | +45% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Jun 09 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30? | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on April 23? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Apr 23 | $4 | +$2 | +41% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Apr 23 | $10 | −$2 | -20% |