Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:40:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4F
0x4f1b…007c
crypto · 94 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$28 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses36 / 58
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)94 / 94
History coverage147d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$6
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -96%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$1 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$2 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$1 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET Jun 01 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 01 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET Jun 01 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET Jun 01 $7 −$4 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7AM ET Jun 01 $21 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 01 $5 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 01 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 01 $11 +$15 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Apr 07 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Apr 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Apr 06 $1 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Apr 06 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Apr 06 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Apr 06 $4 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Apr 06 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Apr 06 $4 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$27
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-28.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -33.3% -39.7% 17% 17% -19.5%
≤30d 42 -37.0% -43.0% 24% 21% -21.9%
≤90d 64 -26.1% -33.2% 36% 30% -20.1%
all 94 -20.5% -28.1% 38% 34% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.1% 34% -19.3%
10% -35.0% 27% -27.0%
15% -41.3% 19% -34.1%
20% -47.0% 11% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 327 history records