trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 58¢ | 58¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 | Over | 11¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Down | 8¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Down | 39¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Down | 36¢ | 0¢ | $8 | $0 | −$8 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Up | 27¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Down | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Up | 9¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | Down | 19¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Jun 13 | $8 | −$8 | -96% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | +$4 | +208% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | +$45 | +2197% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +34% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +69% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +127% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +108% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +73.9% | +57.3% | 37% | 37% | +20.9% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +73.9% | +57.3% | 37% | 37% | +20.9% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +73.9% | +57.3% | 37% | 37% | +20.9% |
| all | 19 | +73.9% | +57.3% | 37% | 37% | +20.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +57.3% | 37% | +20.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +42.3% | 37% | +9.3% |
| 15% | +28.5% | 32% | -1.2% |
| 20% | +15.9% | 32% | -10.9% |