Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:43:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4F
0x4f0d…bb59
crypto · 41 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$19 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses16 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)41 / 41
History coverage42d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET May 02 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 02 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET May 02 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 02 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 02 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET May 02 $8 −$5 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 02 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 02 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET May 02 $4 −$3 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 02 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 02 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 02 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET May 02 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 02 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 02 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 02 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET May 02 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 01 $4 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 01 $3 +$6 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 01 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 01 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 01 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 01 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 01 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 01 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 01 $4 +$3 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 01 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 01 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 01 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 42d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 42d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-33.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -66.9% -70.0% 0% 0% -56.2%
≤30d 11 -66.9% -70.0% 0% 0% -56.2%
≤90d 41 -26.8% -33.8% 39% 24% -25.6%
all 41 -26.8% -33.8% 39% 24% -25.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.8% 24% -25.6%
10% -40.1% 20% -32.7%
15% -45.9% 17% -39.2%
20% -51.2% 17% -45.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 103 history records