Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:58:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4efe…d987
sports · 60 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$1,315 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,641 · open −$326
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$859
Realized+$1,641
Unrealized−$326
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses29 / 24
Est. fees paid−$117
Open positions5
Markets (closed)53 / 60
History coverage2d
Avg bet$130
Trades / day60.9
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 5 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,641
7 days+$1,641
14 days+$1,641
30 days+$1,641
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 60¢ 58¢ $300 $292 −$8 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 41¢ 38¢ $300 $282 −$18 (-6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Over 37¢ 36¢ $200 $197 −$3 (-1%)
Modena (Doubles): Gorgodze/Karamoko vs Cavalle-Reimers/Salden Gorgodze/Karamoko 55¢ 24¢ $200 $87 −$113 (-56%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Enrico Dalla Valle 76¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Folarin Balogun: 3+ goals Yes 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Federico Cina 58¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Shelton 11¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 30¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 51¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5) Tiafoe 69¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs F5 Esports 47¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
ITF Los Angeles: Kristina Penickova vs Alina Shcherbinina Kristina Penickova 71¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5 Over 64¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Over 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Over 16¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $238 $0 −$238 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $102 +$334 +327%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $304 −$300 -99%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $101 +$28 +27%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $101 +$26 +26%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $304 +$188 +62%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $203 +$197 +97%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $402 +$60 +15%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $155 −$153 -99%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $406 −$400 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $103 +$455 +443%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $246 −$238 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $465 +$676 +145%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $51 +$58 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $56 +$156 +280%
Folarin Balogun: 3+ goals Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $103 −$100 -98%
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals Jun 13 $204 +$414 +203%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
ITF Los Angeles: Lily Taylor vs Kaitlyn Carnicella Jun 12 $193 +$199 +103%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $126 +$68 +54%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 12 $152 −$26 -17%
ITF Los Angeles: Spencer Johnson vs Nathan Trouve Jun 12 $50 −$4 -9%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $72 −$71 -98%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $126 +$94 +74%
ITF Los Angeles: Kristina Penickova vs Alina Shcherbinina Jun 12 $81 −$80 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $277 +$131 +48%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $474 +$20 +4%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $51 +$41 +81%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $88 +$44 +50%
Jiri Lehecka vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $51 −$5 -10%
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5) Jun 12 $35 −$35 -99%
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $35 −$35 -99%
Ben Shelton vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $35 +$6 +17%
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $103 +$43 +42%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $61 +$29 +48%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$20 +65%
Rainbow Six Siege: Leviatán Esports vs Four Angry Men (BO3) - CN Leagu Jun 12 $44 +$46 +105%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $91 +$44 +49%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$60 +128%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $51 −$4 -8%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$32 +158%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $48 −$47 -99%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $25 +$22 +88%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$1,137
other 4% +$356
crypto 4% −$179
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Côt BUY 9¢ $132 26m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY 48¢ $305 32m
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer SELL David Jorda Sanchis 99¢ $436 37m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Enrico Dalla Valle 76¢ $187 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 60¢ $101 1h
Modena (Doubles): Gorgodze/Karamoko vs Cavalle-Reimers/Salden BUY Gorgodze/Karamoko 55¢ $203 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 57¢ $203 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 23¢ $102 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 37¢ $204 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $304 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 41¢ $305 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $155 12h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 48¢ $102 12h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 48¢ $203 12h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 45¢ $102 12h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL Minnesota Twins 84¢ $557 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $60 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 12h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 78¢ $101 12h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 15¢ $103 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 79¢ $101 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 61¢ $304 12h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 87¢ $402 12h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 50¢ $203 12h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 100¢ $1,141 12h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $109 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +16.9% +5.7% 55% 53% +14.8%
≤30d 53 +16.9% +5.7% 55% 53% +14.8%
≤90d 53 +16.9% +5.7% 55% 53% +14.8%
all 53 +16.9% +5.7% 55% 53% +14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.7% 53% +14.8%
10% ← realistic here -4.4% 47% +3.8%
15% -13.6% 43% -6.2%
20% -22.1% 36% -15.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $858.92 · official $1,287.44 · 124 history records