trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -4.0% | -13.2% | 56% | 56% | -25.4% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 52% | 52% | -18.9% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 52% | 52% | -18.9% |
| all | 25 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 52% | 52% | -18.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.8% | 52% | -18.9% |
| 10% | -23.9% | 48% | -26.7% |
| 15% | -31.2% | 48% | -33.8% |
| 20% | -38.0% | 36% | -40.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | Jun 27 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score | Jun 27 | $36 | +$40 | +114% |
| Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | Jun 27 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score | Jun 27 | $34 | +$40 | +118% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $20 | +$13 | +64% |
| Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score | Jun 26 | $25 | +$14 | +57% |
| Will Japan be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | Jun 26 | $30 | −$12 | -40% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $284 | −$280 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | +$38 | +38% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $101 | +$50 | +50% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 23 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria? | Jun 23 | $10 | +$5 | +52% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 23 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $102 | +$105 | +103% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $202 | +$120 | +60% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $91 | −$90 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 21 | $169 | +$20 | +12% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $101 | +$70 | +69% |
| Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$2 | -21% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $34 | −$33 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime? | Jun 19 | $40 | +$44 | +112% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Korea Republic? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $152 | +$60 | +40% |