Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:20:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4eec…9c1a
sports · 303 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$27 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized−$47
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses195 / 100
Est. fees paid−$36
Open positions8
Markets (closed)295 / 303
History coverage46d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day42.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 295 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days+$35
14 days+$48
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Kamil Majchrzak 58¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+71%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron Rinky Hijikata 77¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+29%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner UCAM Esports Club 42¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+137%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 70¢ 72¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Alex Bolt 65¢ 40¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-38%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Mattia Bellucci 67¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 79¢ 85¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Antonia Ruzic 94¢ 59¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-37%)
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu Yunchaokete Bu 94¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-26%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 85¢ 23¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-73%)
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Team Heretics Academy 36¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Jun 14 $7 +$2 +28%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $18 +$6 +32%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin Jun 14 $3 +$1 +18%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Jun 14 $7 −$3 -42%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 14 $6 −$5 -84%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $3 −$1 -18%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $7 $0 -7%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $4 −$3 -74%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $4 −$1 -32%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $4 −$3 -64%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $15 +$3 +19%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $6 +$2 +32%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougaz Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $14 +$3 +22%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $4 $0 -12%
Halle Open, Qualification: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Roberto Bautista Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Daniel Merida Aguila Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Mimi Xu vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $22 −$11 -50%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $3 −$1 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$70
finance 9% +$20
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 67¢ $2 0m
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Yunchaokete Bu 94¢ $1 4m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Antonia Ruzic 92¢ $1 16m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Rinky Hijikata 87¢ $1 23m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Rinky Hijikata 85¢ $1 24m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Rinky Hijikata 81¢ $1 24m
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 76¢ $2 25m
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Alex Bolt 67¢ $1 27m
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Alex Bolt 68¢ $1 40m
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 69¢ $1 44m
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Alex Bolt 66¢ $2 56m
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Alex Bolt 63¢ $1 57m
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Alex Bolt 61¢ $1 57m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Martin Landaluce 99¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 87¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 86¢ $2 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Antonia Ruzic 95¢ $1 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Martin Landaluce 89¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 94¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 93¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Rinky Hijikata 72¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Rinky Hijikata 66¢ $1 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 84¢ $1 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 81¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 51¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 71¢ $1 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 88¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 58¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 58¢ $2 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Martin Landaluce 72¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 180 +3.8% -6.0% 73% 51% -6.7%
≤30d 288 +1.4% -8.3% 66% 45% -10.8%
≤90d 295 +1.1% -8.5% 66% 45% -10.7%
all 295 +1.1% -8.5% 66% 45% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 45% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 23% -19.3%
15% -25.3% 13% -27.1%
20% -32.6% 7% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.51 · official $36.30 (match) · 2166 history records