trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -67.9% | -71.0% | 8% | 8% | -68.1% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -73.9% | -76.4% | 9% | 5% | -68.8% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -73.9% | -76.4% | 9% | 5% | -68.8% |
| all | 22 | -73.9% | -76.4% | 9% | 5% | -68.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -76.4% | 5% | -68.8% |
| 10% | -78.6% | 5% | -71.7% |
| 15% | -80.7% | 5% | -74.5% |
| 20% | -82.6% | 0% | -77.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steven Gerrard be the next manager of Manchester City FC? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $1 | −$8 (-88%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $85 | −$53 | -62% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $53 | −$50 | -94% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $27 | −$6 | -22% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$19 | -94% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $21 | +$8 | +36% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$3 | -16% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |
| Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Ecuador? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$9 | -94% |
| Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 1 Scotland? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $12 | −$12 | -94% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 13 | $53 | −$7 | -13% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 06 | $107 | −$100 | -94% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 06 | $107 | −$14 | -13% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | May 31 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31? | May 31 | $21 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-11? | May 31 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-05-31? | May 31 | $22 | −$21 | -94% |
| Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? | May 31 | $17 | −$16 | -94% |
| Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01? | May 31 | $4 | −$4 | -94% |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-11? | May 31 | $10 | −$9 | -94% |
| Will Kosovo win on 2026-05-31? | May 31 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |