trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 17% | 17% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 17% | 17% | -9.2% |
| all | 25 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 36% | 4% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 4% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 4% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $45 | $44 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 16 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $7 | +$2 | +27% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 10 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 202 | Dec 15 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 23 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? | Jun 22 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Jun 22 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Jun 21 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? | Jun 20 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.4 in June? | Jun 19 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Jun 19 | $16 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Elon tweet 235–249 times June 13–20? | Jun 18 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Jun 18 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 10-16? | Jun 16 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu? | Jun 15 | $18 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 14 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Jun 13 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cameron Young win The 2025 U.S. Open? | Jun 12 | $18 | $0 | -2% |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Jun 11 | $21 | −$4 | -17% |
| Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Jun 11 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 10 | $22 | $0 | -0% |