Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4ea7…702f
crypto · 47 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$146 +75%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$149 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$149
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses27 / 18
Open positions2
Markets (closed)45 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day54.0
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$149
7 days+$149
14 days+$149
30 days+$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 66¢ 50¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 59¢ 2¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$122 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$14 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +22.6% +10.9% 60% 53% +61.1%
≤30d 45 +22.6% +10.9% 60% 53% +61.1%
≤90d 45 +22.6% +10.9% 60% 53% +61.1%
all 45 +22.6% +10.9% 60% 53% +61.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.9% 53% +61.1%
10% ← realistic here +0.3% 53% +45.7%
15% -9.4% 53% +31.6%
20% -18.3% 44% +18.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.55 · official $3.89 · 83 history records