Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:03:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4ea7…e13f
crypto · 2055 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$315 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$315 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$315
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1436 / 500
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1936 / 2055
History coverage8d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day260.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1936 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$994
7 days−$479
14 days−$315
30 days−$315
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 36¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$800
weather 1% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1793 +0.6% -9.0% 73% 56% -19.9%
≤30d 1936 +2.3% -7.5% 74% 56% -15.6%
≤90d 1936 +2.3% -7.5% 74% 56% -15.6%
all 1936 +2.3% -7.5% 74% 56% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover260.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 56% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 40% -23.6%
15% -24.4% 29% -31.0%
20% -31.8% 19% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.12 · official $1.43 (match) · 3500 history records