Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4e8b…d264
crypto · 123 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$110 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$90 · open +$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized+$90
Unrealized+$20
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses93 / 29
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)122 / 123
History coverage60d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 2 History 122 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$88
7 days+$88
14 days+$88
30 days+$88
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $38 $46 +$8 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 0¢ 74¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $72 +$22 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$22 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$12 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $54 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$15 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$2 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$13 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$2 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$6 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +123%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$2 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven May 24 $6 $0 +6%
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 6? May 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 6? May 07 $3 +$2 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$86
other 8% +$19
finance 4% +$9
sports 2% −$4
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -5.0% -14.1% 77% 38% -1.3%
≤30d 48 -4.8% -13.9% 77% 38% -1.3%
≤90d 122 -0.9% -10.4% 76% 43% -3.5%
all 122 -0.9% -10.4% 76% 43% -3.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.4% 43% -3.5%
10% -19.0% 27% -12.7%
15% -26.8% 19% -21.1%
20% -34.0% 10% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.27 · official $54.13 · 481 history records