Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:41:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4e80…c709
sports · 276 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$1,122 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,127 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized+$1,127
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses141 / 134
Est. fees paid−$299
Open positions1
Markets (closed)275 / 276
History coverage66d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 275 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$171
7 days+$384
14 days+$455
30 days+$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand West Indies 31¢ 28¢ $50 $45 −$5 (-11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $51 +$59 +116%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$55 +108%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $51 +$55 +108%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs Tiafoe Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $51 $0 -0%
Set 2 Winner: Bellucci vs Fritz Jun 12 $51 +$32 +64%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $51 +$49 +96%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $82 −$14 -17%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $41 −$3 -7%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $41 +$2 +4%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $71 +$56 +78%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire Jun 10 $26 +$70 +274%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 10 $92 −$58 -63%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire Jun 10 $76 +$43 +57%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $79 +$32 +40%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $31 +$44 +142%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 09 $40 +$22 +54%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $82 +$48 +59%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $49 −$11 -23%
Set 1 Winner: Gentzsch vs Hijikata Jun 09 $51 −$4 -7%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $51 +$29 +56%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $55 +$19 +36%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Glamorgan Jun 06 $41 −$41 -100%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire Jun 06 $21 −$21 -100%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Leicestershire Jun 06 $70 −$70 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $31 +$39 +128%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan Jun 05 $31 +$56 +183%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 04 $51 +$27 +54%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 04 $31 −$31 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $51 +$84 +164%
Set 1 Winner: Berrettini vs Arnaldi Jun 03 $51 +$17 +34%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $31 +$30 +98%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 03 $51 −$51 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $51 +$70 +137%
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Sussex Jun 03 $51 −$51 -100%
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $51 −$51 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $31 −$31 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Arnaldi Jun 02 $99 +$39 +40%
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? Jun 01 $40 −$40 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $51 +$24 +48%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 31 $41 −$41 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $49 +$60 +122%
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline May 31 $51 −$4 -7%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $51 −$51 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe May 30 $51 +$76 +149%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Middlesex May 30 $82 −$82 -100%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $90 +$78 +87%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova May 30 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$1,252
other 7% −$90
politics 0% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand BUY West Indies 31¢ $51 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 45¢ $51 8h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $51 21h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 58¢ $71 23h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 68¢ $51 23h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 66¢ $51 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $51 24h
Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs Tiafoe BUY Tiafoe 99¢ $50 24h
Set 2 Winner: Bellucci vs Fritz BUY Fritz 60¢ $51 25h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 22¢ $34 44h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 22¢ $36 44h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 40¢ $38 44h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 33¢ $34 44h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $46 44h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 54¢ $42 44h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 50¢ $41 45h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $51 45h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 41¢ $41 46h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $71 2d
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire BUY Lancashire 26¢ $26 3d
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire BUY Northamptonshire 63¢ $76 3d
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent BUY Kent 56¢ $51 3d
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent SELL Essex 37¢ $34 3d
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent BUY Essex 43¢ $41 3d
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 92¢ $111 4d
Will India win on 2026-06-09? SELL No 93¢ $74 4d
Will India win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 37¢ $31 4d
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp SELL Tallon Griekspoor 81¢ $61 4d
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 64¢ $79 4d
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria BUY Maria Sakkari 17¢ $21 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +36.5% +23.5% 62% 58% +16.9%
≤30d 121 +3.1% -6.7% 50% 47% -8.6%
≤90d 275 +2.9% -6.9% 51% 49% -3.4%
all 275 +2.9% -6.9% 51% 49% -3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.9% 49% -3.4%
10% -15.8% 48% -12.7%
15% -23.9% 46% -21.1%
20% -31.4% 41% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.62 · official $44.62 (match) · 712 history records