Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:54:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4e72…ffb9
weather · 1289 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses7 / 10
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions2
Markets (closed)17 / 1289
History coverage3d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day1123.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 4? No 72¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8? Yes 82¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 11? No 79¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5? Yes 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? No 32¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+57%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5? No 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 7? Yes 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12? Yes 43¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+132%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 4? Yes 22¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+362%)
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 27m? No 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 5? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 4? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 11? No 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 9? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 9? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 5? No 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 4? Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8? Jun 12 $0 $0 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5? Jun 12 $0 $0 +50%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5? Jun 12 $0 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 7? Jun 12 $0 $0 +32%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on Ju Jun 12 $0 $0 +362%
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 27m? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 5? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 4? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 9? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 5? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 9? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 5? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 11 $19 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $102 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 82% $0
other 8% $0
sports 3% $0
crypto 2% $0
politics 2% $0
tech 1% $0
economics 1% $0
culture 1% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 23¢ $6 5m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 89¢ $4 6m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 86¢ $6 7m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 42¢ $3 7m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? BUY Yes 70¢ $2 8m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 10m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? BUY No 85¢ $4 12m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 71¢ $17 14m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 14m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 86¢ $8 16m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on June 1 BUY Yes 0¢ $0 17m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 17m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 42¢ $4 21m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $16 21m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $15 23m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 24m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 24m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $4 25m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 52¢ $2 25m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 12? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 26m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $25 27m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? BUY Yes 67¢ $3 28m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? BUY Yes 39¢ $7 28m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? BUY No 60¢ $3 29m
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $22 30m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 32m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-34.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -27.2% -34.1% 41% 35% -15.3%
≤30d 17 -27.2% -34.1% 41% 35% -15.3%
≤90d 17 -27.2% -34.1% 41% 35% -15.3%
all 17 -27.2% -34.1% 41% 35% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1123.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.1% 35% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -40.4% 29% -23.4%
15% -46.2% 18% -30.8%
20% -51.5% 12% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.63 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records