Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4e61…0e06
sports · 771 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,185 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,511 · open +$325
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,167
Realized−$9,511
Unrealized+$325
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses230 / 534
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$2,073
Open positions7
Markets (closed)764 / 771
History coverage23d
Avg bet$148
Trades / day127.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 7 History 764 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$871
7 days−$1,681
14 days−$5,536
30 days−$9,511
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 50¢ 55¢ $250 $272 +$22 (+9%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 78¢ $154 $271 +$117 (+76%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 100¢ $94 $199 +$105 (+112%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 23¢ 44¢ $92 $178 +$86 (+93%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Over 14¢ 16¢ $112 $121 +$9 (+8%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 25¢ 20¢ $100 $82 −$18 (-18%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Over 4¢ 5¢ $40 $43 +$3 (+8%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 53¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 3.5 Over 9¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
France vs. Ireland: O/U 2.5 Over 8¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Leo Vithoontien Leo Vithoontien 32¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 16¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-06-10? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-09? No 13¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Tai Leonard Sach Tai Leonard Sach 42¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Over 14¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
ITF Maanshan: Kasidit Samrej vs Pawit Sornlaksup Kasidit Samrej 30¢ 0¢ $159 $0 −$159 (-100%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? No 13¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 79¢ 0¢ $152 $0 −$152 (-100%)
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Junhan Zhang Junhan Zhang 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-06-09? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 39¢ 0¢ $243 $0 −$243 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Under 9¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera Jun 13 $246 −$161 -65%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $738 +$430 +58%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $99 +$101 +101%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 Jun 13 $45 +$54 +122%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $90 −$88 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $199 +$344 +172%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $571 +$557 +98%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $352 +$528 +150%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $150 −$147 -98%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $59 −$57 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $176 +$77 +44%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $46 −$45 -97%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $297 +$381 +128%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $100 −$3 -3%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $220 −$218 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $152 −$152 -99%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $125 +$25 +20%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $388 −$260 -67%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $154 +$234 +152%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $46 −$45 -98%
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Alan Magadan Jun 12 $182 +$15 +8%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 11 $169 +$12 +7%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 11 $633 −$621 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $132 −$132 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $18 −$18 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1,364 −$612 -45%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $50 −$49 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $92 −$90 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $308 +$161 +52%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $802 +$84 +10%
ITF Wuning: Ya Yi Yang vs Anchisa Chanta Jun 11 $382 −$378 -99%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Junhan Zhang Jun 11 $202 −$111 -55%
ITF Wuning: Kyoka Okamura vs Varvara Panshina Jun 11 $67 +$40 +60%
ITF Tokyo: Shu Matsuoka vs Naoya Honda Jun 11 $333 +$98 +29%
ITF Tokyo: Kosuke Ogura vs Masamichi Imamura Jun 11 $175 −$171 -98%
ITF Maanshan: Thanapet Chanta vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Jun 11 $361 −$357 -99%
ITF Maanshan: Evan Zhu vs Kokoro Isomura Jun 11 $258 −$256 -99%
ITF Maanshan: Kasidit Samrej vs Pawit Sornlaksup Jun 11 $161 −$159 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $265 +$169 +64%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $266 +$440 +166%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 11 $109 −$108 -99%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $268 +$205 +77%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $131 +$269 +206%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $150 +$238 +158%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $203 +$197 +97%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $299 −$294 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $152 −$148 -98%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $166 +$214 +129%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $579 −$569 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$4,028
other 17% −$4,813
crypto 0% −$297
world 0% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 17¢ $31 8m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 5¢ $4 11m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 17¢ $52 11m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 5¢ $5 11m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 5¢ $5 11m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 5¢ $5 11m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 25¢ $102 52m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 50¢ $254 56m
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera SELL Martina Capurro Taborda 64¢ $13 59m
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera SELL Martina Capurro Taborda 64¢ $14 59m
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera SELL Martina Capurro Taborda 64¢ $13 59m
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera SELL Martina Capurro Taborda 64¢ $15 59m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $95 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $157 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 23¢ $94 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 10¢ $31 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $21 1h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera SELL Martina Capurro Taborda 60¢ $24 1h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera BUY Martina Capurro Taborda 29¢ $104 2h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera BUY Martina Capurro Taborda 35¢ $143 2h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef SELL Celine Naef 91¢ $454 7h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef SELL Celine Naef 77¢ $394 7h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 32¢ $8 8h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 32¢ $98 8h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 38¢ $97 8h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 34¢ $153 8h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef SELL Mary Stoiana 70¢ $257 8h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 71¢ $265 8h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef SELL Celine Naef 19¢ $8 8h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef SELL Celine Naef 19¢ $44 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 193 -5.7% -14.7% 37% 36% -13.2%
≤30d 764 -14.9% -23.0% 30% 29% -17.2%
≤90d 764 -14.9% -23.0% 30% 29% -17.2%
all 764 -14.9% -23.0% 30% 29% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover127.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.0% 29% -17.2%
10% ← realistic here -30.4% 28% -25.1%
15% -37.1% 27% -32.4%
20% -43.3% 24% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,166.85 · official $1,194.15 · 3500 history records