Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4e38…6767
crypto · 694 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$201 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$201 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$201
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses233 / 461
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)694 / 694
History coverage117d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 694 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$19
14 days−$20
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -83%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$5 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$183
other 4% $0
weather 1% −$15
world 0% $0
sports 0% −$1
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 24m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -20.8% -28.3% 34% 34% -30.9%
≤30d 335 -2.9% -12.2% 36% 35% -12.0%
≤90d 675 -8.1% -16.9% 33% 32% -21.4%
all 694 -7.9% -16.7% 34% 33% -20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 33% -20.3%
10% -24.6% 32% -27.9%
15% -31.9% 31% -34.9%
20% -38.6% 30% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1564 history records