Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:24:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4e28…9de5
other · 30 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$10 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 30
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage80d
Avg bet$342
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 0 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 14 $54 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $30 $0 -0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 14 $1,213 −$2 -0%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $1,229 −$3 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 19 $55 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $24 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? Apr 19 $24 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Apr 17 $47 $0 -0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 17 $37 $0 -0%
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Apr 17 $24 $0 -0%
Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league? Apr 17 $35 $0 -0%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 17 $1,020 −$1 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 16 $957 −$1 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 16 $68 $0 -0%
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $36 $0 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 16 $990 −$1 -0%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 16 $959 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Apr 15 $64 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $936 −$1 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 15 $919 −$1 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 15 $956 −$1 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 05 $141 $0 -0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 05 $65 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? Apr 05 $26 $0 -0%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 01 $112 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 01 $22 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 01 $25 $0 -0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? Mar 27 $147 $0 -0%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Mar 27 $29 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 27 $20 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 65% −$9
other 23% −$2
sports 10% −$1
world 1% $0
economics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $53 1h
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $30 1h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $17 1h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 5h
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,211 5h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $24 5h
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $30 5h
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,192 5h
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $961 5h
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $265 5h
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $21 6h
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $1,229 6h
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on SELL No 100¢ $55 56d
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $24 56d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY No 100¢ $40 56d
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 56d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY No 100¢ $15 56d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $12 56d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $13 56d
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 56d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $24 56d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $47 57d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $10 57d
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $37 57d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $37 57d
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $37 57d
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? SELL No 98¢ $24 58d
Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league? SELL No 100¢ $35 58d
Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league? BUY No 100¢ $11 58d
Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league? BUY No 100¢ $15 58d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 4 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 30 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 30 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 91 history records