Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:11:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4e18…6c59
crypto · 1319 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$777 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$777 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$777
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1085 / 234
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1319 / 1319
History coverage21d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day119.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1319 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$967
14 days−$937
30 days−$777
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -93%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$13 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$4 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$740
other 1% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? BUY No 92¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $6 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 509 -15.2% -23.3% 72% 12% -22.4%
≤30d 1319 -2.8% -12.0% 82% 15% -12.9%
≤90d 1319 -2.8% -12.0% 82% 15% -12.9%
all 1319 -2.8% -12.0% 82% 15% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover119.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 15% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 7% -21.2%
15% -28.1% 4% -28.8%
20% -35.2% 3% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records