Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4E
0x4e13…b20b
crypto · 977 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$175 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$174 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$41
Realized−$174
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses682 / 340
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions13
Markets (closed)1022 / 977
Avg bet$3
Trades / day108.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 13 History 1022 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$92
14 days−$177
30 days−$174
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spain leading at halftime? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 92¢ 90¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde? Yes 88¢ 72¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-19%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? No 78¢ 78¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 75¢ 74¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 84¢ 85¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 No 68¢ 68¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
United States leading at halftime? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 63¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw? Yes 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? Yes 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -185%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -66%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$80
other 22% −$7
sports 9% −$23
weather 2% +$6
finance 1% $0
world 1% $0
politics 0% −$3
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 74¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde? BUY Yes 88¢ $2 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY No 68¢ $2 1h
United States leading at halftime? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 76¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 2h
Spain leading at halftime? BUY Yes 72¢ $2 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 84¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 210 -35.5% -41.7% 55% 11% -26.2%
≤30d 1022 -11.8% -20.2% 67% 23% -15.3%
≤90d 1022 -11.8% -20.2% 67% 23% -15.3%
all 1022 -11.8% -20.2% 67% 23% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 23% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 11% -23.4%
15% -34.8% 6% -30.8%
20% -41.2% 3% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.13 · official $41.13 (match) · 3500 history records