trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 21 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $265 | $266 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $214 | $213 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $200 | $200 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $675 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 26? | Jun 26 | $676 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 18? | Jun 18 | $388 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $287 | $0 | +0% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 | Jun 16 | $195 | +$1 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 15 | $215 | $0 | +0% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | Jun 12 | $262 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Jun 11 | $68 | $0 | +0% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in May? | Jun 11 | $93 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting? | Jun 11 | $249 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? | Jun 07 | $233 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 5? | Jun 07 | $345 | $0 | +0% |
| Will BNB dip to $500 in May? | Jun 04 | $186 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in May? | Jun 04 | $200 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Jun 04 | $284 | +$1 | +0% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $666 | +$4 | +1% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 26 | $661 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure? | May 18 | $141 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Michael" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Apr 28 | $306 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between | Apr 28 | $356 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 13 above $320? | Apr 18 | $661 | +$1 | +0% |