Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:46:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4D
0x4dd7…1441
sports · 51 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$58 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$58 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$1
Realized−$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses22 / 29
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 51
History coverage15d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$43
14 days−$56
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhur Damir Dzumhur 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 41¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Yuta Shimizu 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5 Over 76¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Over 95¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Libema Open, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs James McCabe Coleman Wong 62¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Over 75¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Libema Open, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Greet Minnen Ella Seidel 30¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jaume Munar 27¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Dusan Lajovic 39¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Victoria Mboko 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5 Over 49¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5 Over 58¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Pierre-Hugues Herbert 62¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 71¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 62¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Maria Sakkari 52¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Leylah Fernandez 59¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 +$8 +40%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $5 +$3 +56%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $5 +$5 +101%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 +$1 +12%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Jason Jung Jun 09 $15 $0 +1%
Cattolica: Max Hans Rehberg vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 09 $5 $0 -0%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $10 +$7 +72%
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sarah Rakotomanga Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $5 $0 -8%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $15 −$15 -98%
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan Jun 07 $5 +$11 +206%
Libema Open, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Greet Minnen Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Libema Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Robin Montgomery Jun 06 $5 +$9 +182%
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs James McCabe Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $5 +$10 +194%
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $2 $0 +3%
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $15 −$15 -99%
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $10 −$10 -98%
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Mary Stoiana Jun 04 $1 +$1 +89%
Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Perugia: Pierluigi Basile vs Francesco Forti Jun 04 $5 +$2 +31%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 04 $5 +$16 +303%
CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5 May 30 $8 −$8 -98%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 May 30 $10 −$2 -18%
Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 4.5 May 30 $8 +$2 +28%
Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 May 30 $5 +$2 +47%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 −$1 -57%
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw? May 30 $1 +$2 +153%
Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$64
other 3% +$6
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 73¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $20 19h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 62¢ $5 23h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 100¢ $2 23h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 100¢ $6 23h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 88¢ $5 24h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $3 42h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 39¢ $5 44h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 44¢ $1 47h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth BUY Jiri Lehecka 68¢ $5 2d
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang BUY Tallon Griekspoor 41¢ $10 2d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 76¢ $5 2d
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova BUY Victoria Mboko 49¢ $5 2d
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens SELL Anastasia Potapova 100¢ $8 3d
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens BUY Anastasia Potapova 62¢ $5 3d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann SELL Mattia Bellucci 100¢ $10 3d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Mattia Bellucci 48¢ $5 3d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 76¢ $5 3d
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $6 3d
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 87¢ $5 3d
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria BUY Maria Sakkari 52¢ $10 3d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Leylah Fernandez 59¢ $5 3d
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Jason Jung SELL Zdenek Kolar 100¢ $15 4d
Cattolica: Max Hans Rehberg vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 100¢ $5 4d
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Jason Jung BUY Zdenek Kolar 97¢ $15 4d
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm BUY Jaume Munar 27¢ $10 4d
Cattolica: Max Hans Rehberg vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 98¢ $5 4d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 57¢ $10 4d
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sarah Rakotomanga BUY Noma Noha Akugue 98¢ $10 4d
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov SELL Marin Cilic $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -13.7% -21.9% 48% 41% -28.9%
≤30d 51 -16.1% -24.1% 43% 37% -27.5%
≤90d 51 -16.1% -24.1% 43% 37% -27.5%
all 51 -16.1% -24.1% 43% 37% -27.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.1% 37% -27.5%
10% -31.4% 33% -34.4%
15% -38.0% 27% -40.8%
20% -44.1% 20% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.37 · official $1.37 (match) · 76 history records