trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 100% | 0% | -6.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +4.4% | -5.5% | 67% | 33% | -5.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 69% | 31% | -7.8% |
| all | 17 | +3.1% | -6.8% | 76% | 24% | -8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.8% | 24% | -8.0% |
| 10% | -15.7% | 18% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -23.8% | 6% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -31.3% | 6% | -32.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 26 | $49 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 17 | $21 | +$3 | +12% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | Jun 05 | $23 | −$1 | -3% |
| Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? | May 22 | $22 | $0 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 19 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | May 17 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | May 15 | $22 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | May 13 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 29 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Pelicans vs. Raptors | Apr 29 | $2 | +$1 | +35% |
| Dubrovnik: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Tena Lukas | Apr 29 | $2 | +$1 | +35% |
| Nets vs. Lakers | Apr 29 | $3 | $0 | +9% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Apr 29 | $3 | +$2 | +52% |
| Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japan | Mar 27 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 06 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31? | Feb 06 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Feb 06 | $8 | $0 | +0% |