Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T03:15:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
4D 0x4dab…6d0e crypto 626 markets active 0h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (96 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$49,681 (+125%) realized +$49,681 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate47%295W / 331L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$63per market
Trades / day96.2pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 28d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$207
other 3% +$297
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (96 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +11.6% +1.0% 79% 63% +1.8%
≤30d 626 -9.5% -18.1% 47% 42% -9.3%
≤90d 626 -9.5% -18.1% 47% 42% -9.3%
all 626 -9.5% -18.1% 47% 42% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover96.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 42% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 36% -18.0%
15% -33.1% 27% -25.9%
20% -39.7% 20% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$43 vs −$38 · ×1.13 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$49,681
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses295 / 331
Open positions0
Markets (closed)626 / 626
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$63
Trades / day96.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 626 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 24 $296 +$189 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $352 +$73 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 24 $57 −$15 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 24 $168 +$39 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $564 +$68 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $55 −$55 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 23 $68 +$39 +58%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 23 $312 +$126 +40%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 23 $294 +$90 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $191 +$16 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $551 +$164 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $63 −$19 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $39 +$4 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $1,244 −$487 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $130 +$31 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $341 +$24 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $774 +$317 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 23 $79 +$6 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 23 $337 +$128 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $139 −$139 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $70 +$24 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$37 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$23 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$32 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$11 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$18 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$25 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$16 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$26 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$17 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$12 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$39 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$13 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $66 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $68 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $38 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $57 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $28 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $38 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $91 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $76 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $71 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records