trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -33.9% | -40.2% | 50% | 25% | -88.1% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 59% | 35% | -44.2% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 59% | 35% | -44.2% |
| all | 17 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 59% | 35% | -44.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.8% | 35% | -44.2% |
| 10% | -38.3% | 24% | -49.5% |
| 15% | -44.3% | 12% | -54.4% |
| 20% | -49.7% | 0% | -58.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? | Jun 14 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 14 | $65 | −$44 | -68% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $51 | +$17 | +32% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 12 | $1,145 | −$1,145 | -100% |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7? | Jun 07 | $310 | −$121 | -39% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $100 | +$9 | +9% |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-J | Jun 03 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 03 | $250 | +$15 | +6% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? | Jun 03 | $30 | +$5 | +16% |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7? | Jun 02 | $525 | −$525 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 01 | $290 | +$14 | +5% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 01 | $100 | +$40 | +40% |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? | Jun 01 | $100 | +$36 | +36% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | Jun 01 | $620 | +$164 | +26% |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? | May 30 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31? | May 30 | $500 | +$91 | +18% |