Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:02:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4D
0x4d77…483b
crypto · 468 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$502 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$502 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$502
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses220 / 248
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)468 / 468
Avg bet$20
Trades / day20.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 468 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$114
7 days+$51
14 days−$142
30 days−$424
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$49 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$53 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$25 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$48 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $144 +$33 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $163 +$47 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $92 +$13 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$31 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$61 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$38 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$25 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$17 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $143 +$40 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $86 +$24 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$24 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$14 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$19 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$38 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$53 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $40 −$39 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $37 +$14 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$7 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$27 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$15 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$497
sports 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $51 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $12 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $50 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $47 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $21 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $21 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $21 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 157 -17.0% -24.9% 43% 41% -5.1%
≤30d 445 -10.0% -18.5% 49% 44% -12.1%
≤90d 468 -12.6% -20.9% 47% 43% -12.9%
all 468 -12.6% -20.9% 47% 43% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.9% 43% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.5% 38% -21.2%
15% -35.4% 33% -28.8%
20% -41.7% 25% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1200 history records