Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:33:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4D
0x4d64…e544
crypto · 802 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$3,924 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,924 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,924
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses687 / 116
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)803 / 802
History coverage25d
Avg bet$585
Trades / day97.0
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 803 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$576
7 days+$480
14 days+$632
30 days+$3,924
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $686 $0 −$686 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $380 $0 −$380 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1,038 $0 −$1,038 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $363 $0 −$363 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $173 $0 −$173 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $915 +$85 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $590 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $368 +$32 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $166 +$34 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $584 +$16 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $388 +$12 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $194 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $171 +$29 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $379 +$21 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $179 +$21 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $171 +$29 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $716 +$84 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $372 +$28 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $191 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $190 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $389 +$11 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $1,047 −$1,038 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $388 +$12 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $561 +$39 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $924 +$76 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $517 +$83 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $357 +$43 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $855 −$55 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $576 +$24 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,993
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $197 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $195 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $162 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $162 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $63 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $68 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $71 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $196 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $197 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $185 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $183 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $166 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $196 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $196 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $192 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 +0.9% -8.7% 95% 15% -8.5%
≤30d 803 -0.4% -9.9% 86% 7% -8.8%
≤90d 803 -0.4% -9.9% 86% 7% -8.8%
all 803 -0.4% -9.9% 86% 7% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover97.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 7% -8.8%
10% -18.5% 2% -17.5%
15% ← realistic here -26.4% 1% -25.5%
20% -33.6% 1% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records