Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4D
0x4d2d…f5cc
crypto · 94 markets active 10h ago
0.0score
+$30,329 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$30,329 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$30,329
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses57 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)94 / 94
History coverage13d
Avg bet$1,765
Trades / day262.4
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13,831
7 days+$15,266
14 days+$30,329
30 days+$30,329
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1,231 $0 −$1,231 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6,056 $0 −$6,056 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3,556 $0 −$3,556 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $10,980 $0 −$10,980 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3,998 −$3,998 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5,217 +$3,046 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $655 +$106 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $9,933 +$5,841 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $13,256 +$5,798 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $7,768 +$4,699 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $4,064 +$2,628 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3,649 −$3,556 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $11,279 −$10,980 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $6,215 −$6,056 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $3,900 +$1,707 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $8,675 +$6,075 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $3,944 +$1,929 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $3,765 +$1,908 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $3,993 +$2,448 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3,551 +$1,949 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $3,603 +$2,200 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2,208 +$1,616 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $976 +$671 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1,610 −$1,443 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $73 +$306 +421%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $341 +$400 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $992 +$835 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1,038 +$949 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $192 +$235 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3,060 −$2,861 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3,438 −$3,362 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $849 −$849 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1,889 −$1,889 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $926 −$914 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1,101 +$1,587 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $390 +$457 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $92 −$51 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3,648 +$2,383 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $938 −$938 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $258 +$775 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $514 −$514 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $199 +$885 +444%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $421 −$421 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $2,352 +$1,856 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 03 $458 −$458 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 31 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 31 $178 −$97 -54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$30,329
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $60 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $47 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $74 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $74 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $36 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $42 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $47 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $31 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $51 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $47 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +19.1% +7.8% 57% 57% +1.7%
≤30d 94 +32.7% +20.0% 61% 60% +7.2%
≤90d 94 +32.7% +20.0% 61% 60% +7.2%
all 94 +32.7% +20.0% 61% 60% +7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover262.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +20.0% 60% +7.2%
10% +8.6% 59% -3.0%
15% ← realistic here -1.9% 57% -12.4%
20% -11.5% 53% -21.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records