Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:03:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4D
0x4d0d…f270
crypto · 1739 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$1,531 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,531 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,531
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses756 / 863
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1619 / 1739
History coverage56d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day47.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1619 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,412
7 days+$3,345
14 days+$3,771
30 days+$5,577
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $797 +$732 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $137 −$130 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $78 +$38 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $433 +$554 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $569 −$550 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $208 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $88 +$71 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$60 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$95 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$156 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$39 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$58 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$35 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $77 +$67 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$37 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $185 +$522 +282%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$181 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$76 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$76 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$56 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$163 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$82 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$27 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$20 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$16 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$24 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $42 +$45 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$21 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$33 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $29 +$26 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $244 +$171 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $35 +$32 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $98 −$94 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$30 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $52 +$74 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$32 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$19 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$55 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $75 +$47 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,531
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1,529 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $350 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $435 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $137 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $116 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $51 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $27 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $988 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $154 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $279 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $569 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $208 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $115 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $159 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $88 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $112 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $193 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $260 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $104 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 +26.6% +14.5% 56% 56% +28.6%
≤30d 640 +6.9% -3.3% 50% 49% +8.1%
≤90d 1619 -3.6% -12.8% 47% 45% -7.0%
all 1619 -3.6% -12.8% 47% 45% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 45% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 44% -15.9%
15% -28.7% 43% -24.0%
20% -35.7% 42% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2892 history records