trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 | Under | 46¢ | 46¢ | $19 | $19 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $11 | $11 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Red Wings vs. Senators | Senators | 53¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Penguins vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 56¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) | Heat | 55¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Stars vs. Ducks | Stars | 20¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-17? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $49 | $0 | −$49 (-100%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Flames vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5 | Over | 52¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Bruins vs. Sabres | Sabres | 14¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Will Mali win on 2025-12-22? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $70 | $0 | −$70 (-100%) |
| Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-03-06? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| Canucks vs. Kraken | Kraken | 51¢ | 0¢ | $150 | $0 | −$150 (-100%) |
| Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 60¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-21? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Pelicans vs. Rockets | Pelicans | 21¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-22? | No | 38¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Grizzlies vs. Spurs | Grizzlies | 31¢ | 0¢ | $83 | $0 | −$83 (-100%) |
| Blues vs. Sabres | Sabres | 54¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Maple Leafs vs. Stars | Maple Leafs | 29¢ | 0¢ | $126 | $0 | −$126 (-100%) |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $35 | $0 | −$35 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blues vs. Sabres | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Utah vs. Sharks | Jun 13 | $80 | −$24 | -30% |
| Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-05? | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Leeds United vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Spread: Hornets (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Kings | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5 | Jun 13 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Jun 13 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Greece win on 2025-10-09? | Jun 13 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5 | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2025-10-10? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Blues | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2025-10-18? | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will FC Metz vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Sharks | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss | Jun 13 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-01? | Jun 13 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Will Leeds United vs. Aston Villa end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Hawks | Jun 13 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | Jun 13 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Jets vs. Sharks | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-11-06? | Jun 13 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid vs. Villarreal end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Canucks | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-06? | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Royer vs Denis Shapovalov | Jun 13 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Jun 13 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03? | Jun 13 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Oilers | Jun 13 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-11-22? | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United vs. Brighton end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24? | Jun 13 | $86 | −$86 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Avalanche | Jun 13 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Arkansas vs. LSU | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Bulls | Jun 13 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Nets | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Jets | Jun 13 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-5.5) | Jun 13 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Patriots vs. Buccaneers | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23? | Jun 13 | $118 | −$118 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Spurs | Jun 13 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 | Jun 13 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Fiorentina win on 2025-11-09? | Jun 13 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2025-11-14? | Jun 13 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Jaguars vs. Raiders | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Senators | Jun 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 95 | -31.9% | -38.4% | 24% | 24% | -52.4% |
| ≤30d | 280 | +10.0% | -0.4% | 44% | 44% | -12.8% |
| ≤90d | 689 | +6.9% | -3.2% | 43% | 43% | -9.4% |
| all | 2140 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 43% | 43% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 43% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 42% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 42% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 41% | -33.3% |