Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:59:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4C
0x4c99…e2ee
crypto · 360 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses211 / 149
Open positions0
Markets (closed)360 / 360
Avg bet$4
Trades / day19.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 360 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$74
7 days−$19
14 days−$2
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +114%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +70%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +129%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 316 -0.1% -9.6% 59% 59% -10.9%
≤30d 360 -2.2% -11.5% 59% 57% -11.1%
≤90d 360 -2.2% -11.5% 59% 57% -11.1%
all 360 -2.2% -11.5% 59% 57% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 57% -11.1%
10% -20.0% 56% -19.6%
15% -27.7% 49% -27.4%
20% -34.8% 41% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 593 history records